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Green Horizons US Markets Weekly Report

By : Green Horizons


Green Horizons U.S. Market Weekly Overview: (24/03/2025 – 28/03/2025)

 

Jordan Daily – As we reach the last week of March, the US financial markets remain a battleground for volatility and opportunity.  With significant economic data releases, Federal Reserve signals, and altering global market sentiment, traders and investors must remain adaptable.  In this week’s Green Horizons U.S. Market Weekly Overview, we look at the elements that influence market movements, highlighting both hazards and beneficial opportunities.  Understanding market trends is critical for capitalizing on the coming week, whether you’re trading stocks, indices, or forex.  Let’s look at the important trends and insights for March 24-March 28, 2025.

This is not a buy or sell recommendation but rather a general market outlook. You can contact the analyst and access the recommendation channels by reaching out via Telegram at @GHVATECH.

Technical Analysis

  1. S&P500 (SPX500):

Support Levels: 5530 / 5590 / 5630 A crucial support zone where the index has previously shown resilience.

 

Resistance Levels: 5750 / 5790 / 5810  Breaking past this level may signal continued upward momentum.

 

Weekly Outlook:

The overall trend is upward, with the weekly trading range expected between the support level of 5,550 and the resistance level of 5,800. The optimal buying zones are between 5,550 and 5,560, with target levels reaching up to 5,800.

2- Russell 2000 (RUSS2000):

Support Levels: 1990 / 2025 / 2050 The existing support levels in place.

 

Resistance Levels: 2100 / 2129 / 2150 The index may experience upward momentum if it breaks through this resistance.

Weekly Outlook:

The overall trend is upward, with the weekly trading range expected between the support level of 2,000 and the resistance level of 2,160. The optimal buying zones are between 2,020 and 2,050, with target levels reaching up to 2,140–2,160.

3- Dow Jones (US30):

Support Levels: 41200 / 41550 / 41770 A significant support level currently in place.

Resistance Levels: 42350 / 42500 / 42800 A breakout above this level would confirm the upward trend.

Weekly Outlook:

The overall trend is upward, with the weekly trading range expected between the support level of 41,200 and the resistance level of 42,700. The optimal buying zones are between 41,600 and 42,700, with target levels reaching up to 42,600.

4- Nasdaq100 (US100):

Support Levels: 19200 / 19500 / 19750 A key support levels in case of additional declines.

 

Resistance Levels: 20200 / 20500 / 20750 A break of this level could signal the beginning of a robust upward trend.

Weekly Outlook:

The overall trend is upward, with the weekly trading range expected between the support level of 19,200 and the resistance level of 20,700. The optimal buying zones are between 19,200 and 19,400, with target levels reaching up to 20,500.

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5- Gold (XAUUSD):

Support Levels: 2940 /2965 / 2985 

Resistance Levels: 3045 / 3065 / 3090

Weekly Outlook:

️ Gold retests $3000 After a Strong Rally! Is It Time for a Correction or Further Upside?

 

After two weeks of continuous gains and achieving all projected targets, gold (XAUUSD) pulled back on Friday, touching the $3000 zone before rebounding 200 points to close at $3022.

🔹 The overall trend remains bullish! 

But could we see a corrective pullback before resuming the uptrend? Let’s explore the possible scenarios 

🔻 Bearish Correction Scenario (Temporary Pullback)

Conditions for a continued correction:

🔸 Failing to break above $3040 and holding below it

🔸 Breaking below $3000 – $3005 and maintaining levels beneath

If these conditions are met, we could see a decline toward $2980 initially.

📌 Best Selling Opportunities:

🔸 Sell from the $3030 – $3041 zone

🎯 Targets: $3005 – $2980

🛑 Stop Loss: No more than 70 points

 

📌 Best Buying Zones in Case of a Correction:

🔹 $2975 – $2970

🔹 $2960 – $2955

🔹 $2945 – $2940

🎯 Initial Target: $3060, followed by higher levels

 

 Bullish Continuation Scenario

 

🔸 If $3040 is broken and held above, the correction scenario will be invalidated, and targets will be:

🎯 $3060 → $3075 → $3090 → $311

🔔 Summary:

Selling is possible from $3030 – $3041 with downside targets

Best buying opportunities are at strong support levels

A break above $3040 signals continued upside toward $3110

 

️ Monitor the markets closely and stick to risk management! . When Does the Technical Outlook Change?

🔹 The bearish outlook becomes invalid if gold breaks and stabilizes above $2,990.
🔹 The bullish outlook would change only if gold breaks below $2,920 and remains beneath this level.

Disclaimer: This analysis does not include intraday trading positions and is intended for traders with a medium- to long-term technical outlook.

Monitor the market carefully and manage risk wisely!

Weekly News

During the week of March 24-28, investors will closely scrutinize major economic data and business results, resulting in increased market volatility. Prices of major indexes, commodities, and currencies will be influenced by central bank policies, crucial financial reports, and global geopolitical events. Given these considerations, traders and investors must negotiate a volatile market landscape rife with possibilities and hazards.

Monday (24/03/2025):

The Flash Manufacturing PMI: is a major economic indicator that evaluates business conditions in the manufacturing sector via a poll of around 800 purchasing managers.  A value above 50.0 implies industrial expansion, while one below 50.0 suggests recession.  Released monthly, roughly three weeks into the current month, it provides as an early indicator of economic health and has the greatest market influence because it comes before the Final report.  A higher-than-expected number bodes well for the currency, indicating solid economic activity.   (Previous: 52.7; forecast: 51.9).

 

The Flash Services PMI: A study of nearly 400 purchasing managers assesses business conditions in the services industry.  A value more than 50.0 implies industrial expansion, whilst a reading less than 50.0 suggests decline.  It is released once a month, around three weeks into the current month, and acts as an early predictor of economic health.  The Flash version has the largest market influence since it comes before the final report.  A higher-than-expected number bodes well for the currency, indicating solid economic activity.  (Previous: 51.0; forecast: 51.2).

Tuesday (25/03/2025):

The S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI: Measures the year-over-year change in single-family housing prices in 20 major metropolitan regions.  It is released monthly, about 60 days following the reporting month, and is a major indication of the housing market’s health.  Rising housing values entice investors and fuel business activity, making them vital for market sentiment.  A higher-than-expected result is good for the currency.   (Previous: 4.5%; forecast: 4.6%).

The HPI m/m: monitors the monthly change in house purchase prices for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac-backed mortgages.  It is released around 60 days following the reporting month and is an important indicator of the housing market’s health.  Rising housing values entice investors and stimulate industrial activity, making them relevant for economic study.  A higher-than-expected result is good for the currency.  (Previous: 0.4%; forecast: 0.2%).

The CB Consumer Confidence Index: measures household sentiment on current and future economic conditions through a survey of about 3,000 households. As a key indicator of consumer spending, which drives economic activity, higher confidence generally supports the currency.  (Previous: 98.3, Forecast: 94.2).

New Home Sales: Determine the annualized number of newly sold single-family residences in the previous month.  Home sales, which are a leading sign of economic health, generate broader economic activity such as furniture purchases, mortgage finance, and brokerage services.  A higher-than-expected result is good for the currency.  (Previously 657K, forecasted 682K).

The Richmond Manufacturing Index: A survey of around 75 manufacturers is used to assess business conditions in Richmond.  A value greater than zero suggests that circumstances are improving, whereas a reading less than zero indicates that they are deteriorating.  Though its influence is lessened due to preceding regional data, it nonetheless sheds light on industrial trends. (Previous: 6; Forecast: 8).

Wednesday (26/03/2025):

Core Durable Goods Orders: Determine the monthly change in new purchase orders for durable goods, excluding transportation items.  This indicator is seen to be a better predictor of overall manufacturing developments because aircraft orders can be volatile.  A higher-than-expected number is good for the currency since it indicates increasing production activity.  (Previous: 0.0%; forecast: 0.4%).

Core Durable Goods Orders: Determine the monthly change in new purchase orders for durable goods, excluding transportation items.  This indicator is seen to be a better predictor of overall manufacturing developments because aircraft orders can be volatile.  A higher-than-expected number is good for the currency since it indicates increasing production activity.  (Previous: 0.0%; forecast: 0.4%).

Thursday (27/03/2025):

Final GDP q/q: measures the annualized change in inflation-adjusted economic output. A higher-than-expected reading is positive for the currency. It is released quarterly,  (Previous: 2.3%, Forecast: 2.4%).

 

Unemployment Claims: measure the number of people filing for jobless benefits for the first time. Lower-than-expected claims are positive for the currency. (Previous: 223K, Forecast: 225K).

Final GDP Price Index q/q: measures the annualized change in prices of all goods and services within GDP. A higher-than-forecast reading is positive for the currency. Released quarterly, about 85 days after the quarter ends. Also known as the GDP Deflator, it helps assess inflation trends.  Previous: 2.4%, Forecast: 2.4%.

Goods Trade Balance: measures the difference between imported and exported goods. A higher-than-forecast reading is positive for the currency. Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends. It provides early insight into the overall Trade Balance. Previous: -155.6B, Forecast: -134.6B.

Goods Trade Balance: Determine the monthly change in new purchase orders for durable goods, excluding transportation items. This indicator is seen to be a better predictor of overall manufacturing developments because aircraft orders can be volatile. A higher-than-expected number is good for the currency since it indicates increasing production activity. (Previous: 0.0%; forecast: 0.4%).

Friday (28/03/2025):

The Core PCE Price Index: measures monthly changes in consumer prices, excluding food and energy. A higher-than-forecast reading is positive for the currency.  it is the Fed’s primary inflation gauge.

Personal Income m/m: measures the monthly change in total consumer income from all sources. Higher-than-forecast data is positive for the currency. It impacts consumer spending, a key driver of economic growth.  Previous: 0.9% / Forecast: 0.4%.

Personal Spending m/m: measures the monthly change in inflation-adjusted consumer expenditures. Higher-than-forecast data is positive for the currency. It is a key indicator of economic health, though its impact is often softened by earlier Retail Sales data.  Previous: -0.2% / Forecast: 0.6%.

Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment: measures consumer confidence through a survey-based index. Higher-than-forecast data is positive for the currency. The Preliminary release, published earlier, has a stronger market impact. Consumer confidence is a key indicator of spending and economic activity.

Revised UoM Inflation Expectations: measure consumer predictions for price changes over the next year. Higher-than-forecast data is positive for the currency. The Preliminary release has a greater market impact. Inflation expectations influence wage demands and actual inflation.

Economic data releases show uneven growth in major industries.  The final GDP and price index suggest solid growth, but the goods trade balance shows a reducing deficit, which may help the currency.  Unemployment claims are stable, showing that the labor market is resilient.

On the consumer side, pending house sales and personal spending indicate shifting demand trends, but the core PCE price index remains the Fed’s key inflation indicator.  Consumer sentiment and inflation expectations indicate market confidence, which influences future spending and wage patterns.

Traders should be cautious—better-than-expected data might boost the dollar, while negative readings could raise concerns about economic growth.

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Disclaimer: The information provided in this report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Jordan Daily, Green Horizons, and any affiliated advertisers disclaim all liability for any decisions made based on this report. Investors should conduct their own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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