By : Green Horizons
Green Horizons U.S. Market Weekly Overview (24/02/2025 – 28/02/2025)
Jordan Daily – As we enter the final trading week of February, market participants anticipate a combination of turbulence and opportunity. With significant economic data releases, company profits, and geopolitical developments influencing investor mood, traders must remain nimble in managing the changing picture.
This week’s focus will be on Federal Reserve signals, inflation data, and sector-specific developments that might propel the market further. Whether you’re a short-term trader or a long-term investor, knowing the forces at work is critical for capitalizing on opportunities and properly managing risks.
Let’s look at the important issues and market trends that might shape the week ahead.
Technical Analysis
- S&P500 (SPX500):
Support Levels: 5955 / 5990 / 6015 A crucial support zone where the index has previously shown resilience.
Resistance Levels: 6090 / 6120 / 6145 Breaking past this level may signal continued upward momentum.
Latest Outlook: During last week’s trading sessions, we observed price stability near peak levels, followed by a sharp and alarming decline, reaching the 6012 zone.
Weekly Outlook:
The overall trend remains bullish; however, prices are currently trading within a downward secondary trend. This presents an opportunity to establish long positions, making it essential to consider the initiation of buy positions. The optimal buying zones are between 5977 – 5933, with an initial target of 6120 and a secondary target of 6200.
Additionally, short-term selling positions can be considered for speculative trading upon market opening from the 6080 – 6120 range, targeting the previously mentioned buying zones.
This week’s trading range is expected between the support level of 5900 and the resistance level of 6140.
2- Russell 2000 (RUSS2000):
Support Levels: 2140 / 2160 / 2185 The existing support levels in place.
Resistance Levels: 2240 / 2260 / 2290 The index may experience upward momentum if it breaks through this resistance.
Latest Outlook: We observed an unusual price consolidation over the past few weeks within a narrow trading range. However, on Friday, the market experienced a sharp decline, reaching the 2194 zone.
Weekly Outlook:
The overall trend remains bullish, with sideways movements currently forming a downward secondary trend. This week’s trading range is expected between the support level of 2150 and the resistance level of 2300. The optimal buying zones are between 2160 and 2180, with an initial target of 2240 and a secondary target of 2280. However, caution is advised, as a clear break below the 2160 level could lead to the development of new trends.
If the 2160 level is breached, it could pave the way for prices to reach the 2100–2060 zone. This area is considered optimal for building long-term buy positions, aiming for new highs.
3- Dow Jons (US30):
Support Levels: 42300 / 42780 / 42920 A significant support level currently in place.
Resistance Levels: 43813 / 44180 / 44500 A breakout above this level would confirm the upward trend.
Latest Outlook: We observed a relatively narrow trading range for the Dow Jones index during last week’s sessions. However, it took the market by surprise with a sharp downward move, marking a significant decline. The drop began from the 44,580 level and extended to 43,325, resulting in a total loss of 1,255 points.
Weekly Outlook:
The overall trend remains bullish, while prices are currently moving within a downward secondary trend. This week’s trading range, provided the 43,000 level holds, is expected between the support at 43,000 and the resistance at 44,750.
The first buying zone is between 43,000 and 43,400, targeting 44,100–44,400, as long as the 42,900 level is not breached. If this level is broken, the second buying zone will be between 42,120 and 42,500, with an initial target of 43,100 and a secondary target of 44,000.
4- Nasdaq100 (US100):
Support Levels: 20800 / 21000 / 21290 A key support levels in case of additional declines.
Resistance Levels: 21660 / 21890 / 22130 A break of this level could signal the beginning of a robust upward trend.
Latest Outlook: We saw the continuation of the upward trend during last week’s trading, with prices reaching the 22,235 level. However, this led to a sharp decline on Friday, bringing prices down to the 21,590 zone.
Weekly Outlook:
The overall trend remains bullish, with the weekly trading range expected between the support at 20,800 and the resistance at 22,080. The optimal buying zones are between 21,000 and 21,350, targeting a move toward the previous high.
To join our telegram Public channel for daily market update, contact our admin @IICC55
5- Gold (XAUUSD):
Support Levels: 2885 /2905 / 2922
Resistance Levels: 2945 / 2960 / 2970
Latest Outlook: During last week’s trading, we observed relatively slow movements, with the weekly trading range not exceeding 85 dollars to the upside. The markets closed at 2,935.
Weekly Outlook:
The buying zones at market open are between 2,923 and 2,940, with an initial target of 2,955. From these levels, we may see price corrections to the 2,940–2,945 range before resuming upward momentum toward targets of 2,978–2,989.
This outlook will change if the 2,922 low is broken and closed below. Such a move would create short-selling opportunities, with targets reaching 2,905–2,890.
Weekly News
As we enter the week of February 24–28, the markets are set for another surge of volatility. With important economic reports and corporate earnings continuing to impact investor sentiment, the upcoming days will play a critical role. Central bank decisions, key economic data, and global geopolitical events are expected to drive movements in major indices, commodities, and currencies, making this week one to closely monitor.
Monday (24/02/2025):
No News Affect US markets.
Tuesday (25/02/2025):
The S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y: analyzes the change in the selling price of single-family houses across 20 metropolitan regions. A greater ‘Actual’ value than the ‘Forecast’ is favorable for the currency. It is distributed around 60 days after the end of each month.This index, one of the few non-seasonally adjusted figures, is an important measure of the housing industry’s health. Rising property prices attract investors and boost business activity. It’s also called the S&P Corelogic CS Indices.
The HPI m/m: monitors the change in the purchase price of houses financed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. A higher ‘Actual’ value than the ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. Released monthly, typically 60 days after the month ends. Since March 2008, it has been reported monthly. This index is an important indication of the housing sector’s health since growing home values attract investors and encourage industrial activity. The previous number was 0.3%, and the projection is 0.2%.
The CB Consumer Confidence Index: calculates the level of a composite index based on polled households. A greater ‘Actual’ value than the ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. Monthly releases are made on the final Tuesday of the current month. This index measures financial confidence, which is a leading indication of consumer spending, a key driver of economic activity. It is based on a poll of around 3,000 households assessing present and future economic situations. The previous figure was 104.1, and the prediction is 103.3.
The Richmond Manufacturing index: is a composite indicator calculated from surveys of Richmond firms. A greater ‘Actual’ value than the ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. The next release date is March 25, 2025. A value greater than zero indicates that things are improving, whereas a reading less than zero indicates that conditions are deteriorating. It has a muted influence because of prior regional indications. The index is based on a survey of around 75 manufacturers in the Richmond region that evaluated business conditions. The previous number was 4, and the forecast was -2.
Wednesday (26/02/2025):
New Home Sales: Measures the annualized number of new single-family homes sold in the previous month. A greater ‘Actual’ value than the ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. Monthly releases are made on the 17th business day following the end of the month. Although it is monthly data, it is given in an annualized manner (monthly figure x12). This statistic is essential since the sale of a new house creates a large economic ripple effect, such as sales of furnishings and appliances. The previous figure was 698K, with a projection of 677K.
Thursday (27/02/2025):
Prelim GDP q/q: measures the annualized change in the value of all goods and services produced by the economy. A higher ‘Actual’ value than the ‘Forecast’ is positive for the currency. Released quarterly, about 60 days after the quarter ends. While it is q/q data, it is reported in an annualized format (quarterly change x4). There are three GDP releases: Advance, Preliminary, and Final, with the Advance release having the most impact. GDP is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy’s health. The previous value was 2.3%, with a forecast of 2.3%.
Unemployment Claims: Measures the number of people who applied for unemployment insurance for the first time in the previous week. A lower ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. Released once a week, generally on the first Thursday after the week finishes. This is the nation’s first economic statistics, and its market influence varies week by week. While unemployment rates are a lagging indication, they do indicate economic health since consumer spending is closely related to labor-market circumstances. The previous figure was 219K, with a projection of 220K.
Core Durable Goods Orders m/m: Measures the change in the total value of new purchase orders made with manufacturers for durable goods, excluding transportation. A greater ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. Monthly releases occur around 26 days following the end of each month. This data is often updated by the Factory Orders report. Core data is a stronger indicator of buy order patterns, as aircraft orders can be variable. Traders care because it is a leading predictor of output, with higher orders indicating increased manufacturing activity. The previous number was 0.3%, and the projection is 0.4%.
Durable Goods Orders m/m: measures the change in the total value of new purchase orders made with manufacturers for durable items like as vehicles, computers, and airplanes. A greater ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. Monthly releases occur around 26 days following the end of each month. This data is often updated by the Factory Orders report. Traders are concerned because it is a leading predictor of output, with more orders signaling increasing manufacturing activity. The previous number was -2.2 percent, with a projection of 2.0 percent.
The Prelim GDP Price Index q/q: Measures the annualized change in the price of all goods and services included in GDP. A greater ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. Released quarterly, around 60 days after the quarter ends. This data is given in an annualized format (quarterly change multiplied by four), with the ‘Previous’ number from the Advance release. The last figure of the GDP Deflator was 2.2%, and another 2.2% is expected.
Pending Home Sales m/m: Measures the change in the number of residences under contract to be sold but still awaiting closure, excluding new construction. A greater ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. Monthly releases occur around 28 days following the end of each month. This data is more forward-looking than Existing Home Sales since the contract is signed several weeks before the sale. It’s a leading indicator of economic health, with a previous reading of -5.5% and a prediction of -1.3%. Also known as Pending Resales.
Friday (28/02/2025):
The Core PCE Price Index m/m: Measures the change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and fuel. A greater ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. Monthly releases occur around 30 days following the end of the month. It varies from Core CPI in that it focuses on consumer goods and services, with prices weighted based on total spending. It is the Federal Reserve’s principal inflation indicator, impacting currency valuation since rising prices may result in interest rate rises. Previous value: 0.2%; forecast: 0.3%.
The Goods Trade Balance: measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month. A greater ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. Monthly releases occur around 30 days following the end of the month. A positive figure indicates more goods were exported than imported. Export demand impacts currency demand, as foreigners must buy the domestic currency for transactions, affecting production and prices at domestic manufacturers. Previous value: -122.0B, forecast: -114.9B.
Personal Income m/m: measures the change in the total value of income received from all sources by consumers. A greater ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. Monthly releases occur around 30 days following the end of the month. Traders care because income is closely tied to consumer spending, and higher income can lead to increased spending. Previous value: 0.4%, forecast: 0.3%.
Personal Spending m/m: Measures the change in the value of all consumer expenditures adjusted for inflation. A greater ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. Monthly releases occur around 30 days following the end of the month. Traders are concerned because consumer spending drives the majority of economic activity and is a critical indicator of economic health. Previous value: 0.7%; forecast: 0.2%.
Prelim Wholesale Inventories m/m: Measures the change in the overall value of wholesalers’ inventory. A lower ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. Monthly releases occur around 30 days following the end of the month. Traders are concerned because it indicates future corporate expenditure, since corporations like to refill stocks once they are low. Previous value: -0.5%; forecast: 0.1%.
The Chicago PMI: The level of a diffusion index is measured via surveys of purchasing managers in the Chicago region. Released on the final business day of each month. A greater ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. The value over 50 suggests expansion, while below 50 denotes contraction. It is a leading indication of economic health, indicating how firms react to market conditions. Previous value: 39.5; forecast: 40.3.
As we move forward, key economic indicators such as Core Durable Goods Orders, Personal Spending, and Unemployment Claims will give valuable insights into the strength of consumer demand, manufacturing, and labor market conditions. Traders should monitor this information since they can impact currency fluctuations. The next reports, particularly the Prelim GDP, Core PCE Price Index, and Goods Trade Balance, will be critical in defining expectations for economic growth and inflation rates. Keeping track of these numbers will be critical for projecting any adjustments in market mood.
- To join our Telegram channel for daily market updates, stay informed about the latest trends, and receive expert insights into the financial markets, simply reach out to our admin at @IICC55. By joining, you’ll gain access to exclusive market analysis, real-time trading signals, and the latest news, helping you make more informed decisions throughout your trading journey. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just getting started, our community offers valuable resources to keep you ahead of the market. Don’t miss out on this opportunity—contact @IICC55 today and become part of our thriving trading community!
Feel Free to visit our site (www.ghva.tech), or contact us for more.
© 2025 GreenHorizons Velocity Assets Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Jordan Daily, Green Horizons, and any affiliated advertisers disclaim all liability for any decisions made based on this report. Investors should conduct their own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
