By : Green Horizons
Green Horizons U.S. Market Weekly Overview (10/03/2025 – 14/03/2025)
Jordan Daily – As we enter the second week of March, US financial markets remain in a dynamic terrain defined by economic data releases, Federal Reserve policy signals, and changing investor mood. With volatility persisting across important indexes, traders and investors must remain flexible in order to capitalize on new opportunities while successfully managing risk.
This week, market traders will closely watch inflation statistics, job trends, and corporate profits, all of which might influence short-term price activity. Meanwhile, global economic variables such as geopolitical developments and central bank actions may continue to impact market direction.
In this report, we will analyze the most important market moves, major technical levels, and strategic insights to help you navigate the forthcoming trading sessions with confidence. Whether you’re trading indices, or commodities, knowing the forces at work is critical for making sound judgments.
Technical Analysis
- S&P500 (SPX500):
Support Levels: 5617 / 5652 / 5684 A crucial support zone where the index has previously shown resilience.
Resistance Levels: 5840 / 5872 / 5908 Breaking past this level may signal continued upward momentum.
Latest Outlook: We witnessed a sharp decline in this important index, reaching the strongest daily support levels near the 5,670 zone. It then quickly began to show some signs of recovery, rising to the 5,760 zone and closing the week at that level.
Weekly Outlook:
The overall trend is bullish, with prices currently moving within a minor downward trend parallel to the main trend. Simply put, a breakout above the 5,800–5,830 zone and a confirmed close above it would be the first signal of a potential upward reversal. The best buying opportunities are expected near the 5,670–5,720 zone, with an initial target of 5,800. This week’s price range is expected to fluctuate between the key support level at 5,600 and the resistance level at 5,850.
2- Russell 2000 (RUSS2000):
Support Levels: 1986 / 2010 / 2034 The existing support levels in place.
Resistance Levels: 2121 / 2143 / 2170 The index may experience upward momentum if it breaks through this resistance.
Weekly Outlook:
The overall trend is bearish, but caution is advised as early signs of a potential price reversal and upward movement begin to emerge. This week’s price range is expected to fluctuate between the support level at 1,940 and the resistance level at 2,080. The best buying opportunities are within the 1,940–1,980 zone, with an initial target of 2,040.
3- Dow Jons (US30):
Support Levels: 41940 / 42230 / 42420 A significant support level currently in place.
Resistance Levels: 43160 / 43455 / 43800 A breakout above this level would confirm the upward trend.
Latest Outlook: We witnessed a sharp decline in the Dow Jones index during last week’s trading, reaching the 42,170 zone. However, it quickly rebounded, closing the week at the 42,790 level.
Weekly Outlook:
The overall trend remains bullish as long as the index holds above the 41,940 level. This week’s price range is expected to fluctuate between the key support at 41,940 and resistance at 43,400. The best buying opportunities are within the 41,970–42,200 zone.
4- Nasdaq100 (US100):
Support Levels: 18770 / 19160 / 19750 A key support levels in case of additional declines.
Resistance Levels: 21051 / 21460 / 21800 A break of this level could signal the beginning of a robust upward trend.
Latest Outlook: N The Nasdaq index saw a relatively strong decline; however, upon reaching the 19,750 zone, it found support. This area is considered an optimal buying opportunity, targeting a new high.
Weekly Outlook:
The overall trend remains bullish as long as the index holds above the key support level at 19,700. This week’s price range is expected to fluctuate between the 19,650 support level and the 21,400 resistance level. The best buying opportunities lie within the 19,800–20,000 zone, with an initial target of 21,700. Only if the main support level is breached will the next buying zones be at 18,700–19,100.
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5- Gold (XAUUSD):
Support Levels: 2840 /2868 / 2883
Resistance Levels: 2929 / 2946 / 2957
Weekly Outlook:
Gold Surges Again! Is It Time to Buy?
After a relatively deep correction in recent weeks, gold has strongly rebounded from the $2,830 level, breaking back above the $2,900 mark!
✨ Our outlook remains positive for gold, with key potential buying zones:
📍 $2,894 – $2,885
📍 $2,872 – $2,864
📍 $2,850 – $2,844
🔻 Stop-loss: No more than 60 points for each zone.
🔹 Bullish Confirmation: The positive scenario will be confirmed by breaking above the $2,929 – $2,931 zone and holding above it.
🔻 Bearish Signal: If gold breaks below $2,885 and stabilizes, further downside movement toward lower levels may occur.
🎯 Upcoming Targets:
✅ $2,944
✅ $2,983
✅ $3,031
This is a general analysis and does not include intraday trading signals. Monitor market movements carefully!
Weekly News
As we step into the week of March 10–14, market volatility is expected to remain high. Key economic reports and corporate earnings will continue to shape investor sentiment, while central bank policies, crucial economic indicators, and global geopolitical developments will influence price movements across major indices, commodities, and currencies. With these factors in play, the coming days will be crucial for traders and investors alike.
Monday (10/03/2025):
No News Affect US Market
Tuesday (11/03/2025):
The NFIB Small Business Index: The economic health of small enterprises is assessed using a survey that includes elements such as labor markets, sales, capital spending, inflation, and credit markets. A greater ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is generally favorable for the currency. It is issued once a month, usually on the second Tuesday after the month ends. Small companies are defined as autonomous, for-profit firms employing 1 to 250 people (excluding owners). The last index reading was 102.8, and the projection is 100.9.
The JOLTS Job Openings: The report calculates the number of job opportunities in the United States (excluding agricultural) for the specified month. A greater ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is considered beneficial for the currency. It is issued once a month, around 35 days after the end of the month, with the next publication scheduled for April 1, 2025. Job postings are a good predictor of total employment and can impact the market. Traders are interested in this data because it indicates consumer spending, which is a major driver of economic growth. The previous data indicated 7.60 million job opportunities, with a prediction of 7.71 million.
Wednesday (12/03/2025):
Core CPI m/m: Measures the change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and fuel. A greater ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is generally favorable for the currency. It is issued on a monthly basis, about 16 days after the end of each month, with the next release scheduled for April 10, 2025. Food and energy costs, which account for around 25% of CPI, are volatile and might skew the trend, therefore the Federal Open Market Committee concentrates on Core statistics. Traders pay close attention to Core CPI because inflation influences currency valuations and may drive central banks to boost rates. The prior data indicated a 0.4% gain, with a projection of 0.3%.
CPI m/m: monitors the change in the price of products and services bought by customers. A greater ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. It is issued around 16 days after the end of each month. Traders are concerned about CPI because consumer prices are a primary driver of inflation, which impacts currency valuation. Rising prices may encourage central banks to boost interest rates in order to contain inflation. The prior report indicated a 0.5% gain, with a projection of 0.3%.
CPI y/y: monitors the change in the price of products and services bought by customers. A greater ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is generally favorable for the currency. Monthly releases occur around 16 days following the end of the month. This is one of the rare reports that are not seasonally adjusted. Traders are concerned about CPI because it symbolizes inflation, which influences currency valuation and may drive central banks to hike interest rates. The prior report indicated a 3.0% growth, with a projection of 2.9%.
The 10-year Bond Auction: Measures the highest yield on 10-year government bonds, as well as the bid-to-cover ratio. It takes place once a month. The auction results are published in the format ‘X.XX|X.X’, with the first figure being the highest interest rate and the second being the bid-to-cover ratio. Bond yields are important to traders because they represent investors’ expectations for future interest rates, and the bid-to-cover ratio reflects bond market liquidity and demand, which may be used to assess investor confidence. The auction has both risk and growth implications, thus there is no consistent market reaction.
The Federal Budget Balance: Measures the difference between the federal government’s income and spending in the preceding month. A greater ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. It is issued once a month, usually on the eighth business day after the month has ended. A positive number implies a budget surplus, whereas a negative number indicates a deficit. The previous report indicated a deficit of -128.6 billion, with a projection of -315.0 billion.
Thursday (13/03/2025):
Core PPI m/m: Measures the change in the price of completed products and services sold by producers, excluding food and fuel. A greater ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. Monthly releases occur around 13 days following the end of the month. Food and energy account for around 40% of total PPI, which may minimize the significance of Core data. It is sometimes referred to as Core Finished Goods PPI or Core PPI for Final Demand. The prior data indicated a 0.3% gain, with a projection of 0.3%.
PPI m/m: Measures the price change of completed products and services sold by producers. A greater ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. Monthly releases occur around 13 days following the end of the month. It is a leading indication of consumer inflation since increasing costs for manufacturers are frequently passed on to customers. It is sometimes referred to as Finished Goods PPI, Wholesale Prices, or PPI for End Demand. The prior data indicated a 0.4% gain, with a projection of 0.3%.
Unemployment Claims: Measures the number of people who applied for unemployment insurance for the first time in the previous week. A lower ‘Actual’ than ‘Forecast’ is good for the currency. Released once a week, generally on the first Thursday after the week finishes. Although a lagging indicator, consumer spending is directly related to labor market circumstances and so signifies overall economic health. The prior report revealed 221K claims, with a prediction for 226K.
The 30-year Bond Auction: Measures the highest yield on a 30-year government bond as well as the bid-to-cover ratio. There is no consistent influence on the market because it has both risk and growth implications. Conducted on a monthly basis. The auction results are published in the format ‘X.XX|X.X’, where the first figure is the highest interest rate and the second is the bid-to-cover ratio. Traders worry about this data because it shows bond market liquidity, demand, and investor expectations for future interest rates.
Friday (14/03/2025):
The Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment: Consumer confidence is measured using data from a poll of 420 people regarding present and future economic circumstances. Released monthly, near the middle of the month. A higher-than-expected result is favorable for the currency. The preliminary version, which is issued initially, tends to have a higher influence. Traders worry about this data because it is a leading predictor of consumer spending, which drives the majority of economic activity. Previous: 64.7; forecast: 63.8.
The Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations: Measures customers’ expectations for price changes over the following 12 months. Released monthly, near the middle of the month. A higher-than-expected result is favorable for the currency. The preliminary version tends to have more influence. Traders are concerned about this data because inflation expectations may lead to actual inflation, as workers may demand higher salaries in anticipation of rising prices.
In conclusion, the upcoming economic events and indicators, including key reports on inflation, job openings, and consumer sentiment, will play a pivotal role in shaping market movements. As investors closely monitor these developments, the data released over the next few weeks will offer valuable insights into the broader economic landscape and influence currency, bond, and commodity markets. Stay vigilant and prepared as volatility is expected to rise, offering both challenges and opportunities in the trading environment.
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